Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000738 0.000844 0.000956 0.001084 0.001224 0.001374 0.001545
2025-01-19 0.000560 0.000703 0.000867 0.001065 0.001297 0.001558 0.001872
2025-01-26 0.000484 0.000648 0.000843 0.001088 0.001385 0.001732 0.002162
2025-02-02 0.000425 0.000602 0.000820 0.001106 0.001464 0.001893 0.002439
2025-02-09 0.000364 0.000544 0.000775 0.001088 0.001491 0.001986 0.002631
2025-02-16 0.000312 0.000492 0.000732 0.001066 0.001508 0.002063 0.002801
2025-02-23 0.000282 0.000465 0.000717 0.001078 0.001567 0.002192 0.003037
2025-03-02 0.000254 0.000439 0.000701 0.001085 0.001618 0.002310 0.003261
2025-03-09 0.000219 0.000398 0.000660 0.001055 0.001614 0.002356 0.003389
2025-03-16 0.000189 0.000361 0.000621 0.001024 0.001607 0.002394 0.003507
2025-03-23 0.000170 0.000339 0.000604 0.001022 0.001639 0.002483 0.003694
2025-03-30 0.000153 0.000320 0.000588 0.001021 0.001671 0.002574 0.003883
2025-04-06 0.000136 0.000297 0.000565 0.001009 0.001687 0.002643 0.004047
2025-04-13 0.000118 0.000273 0.000539 0.000989 0.001691 0.002695 0.004187
2025-04-20 0.000111 0.000266 0.000539 0.001011 0.001757 0.002837 0.004455
2025-04-27 0.000103 0.000258 0.000537 0.001029 0.001816 0.002968 0.004712
2025-05-04 0.000091 0.000239 0.000515 0.001011 0.001821 0.003021 0.004856
2025-05-11 0.000079 0.000220 0.000491 0.000990 0.001818 0.003061 0.004981
2025-05-18 0.000073 0.000213 0.000487 0.001002 0.001867 0.003179 0.005222
2025-05-25 0.000068 0.000204 0.000481 0.001009 0.001908 0.003286 0.005448
2025-06-01 0.000058 0.000187 0.000455 0.000980 0.001890 0.003301 0.005539
2025-06-08 0.000050 0.000170 0.000430 0.000951 0.001869 0.003311 0.005622
2025-06-15 0.000045 0.000161 0.000421 0.000949 0.001893 0.003391 0.005810